According to the poll, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn enjoys the support of 22.3 percent of voters, remaining the most popular choice. Framsóknarflokkurinn registers 15 percent support in the MMR poll, and the third spot is Vðreisn, on 12.2 percent. Both of the latter parties gained support between polls. Viðreisn gained the most support in Southwest Iceland and Reykjavík North, while Framsóknarflokkurinn gained the most in South Iceland and Northeast Iceland—though the number of respondents in individual voting districts is sometimes small.
The support for all other parties remains fairly stable between polls. Flokkur fólksins (the People’s Party) would gain the five percent of votes needed to gain seats in Alþingi. Nine of the ten parties on the ballot nationwide would secure MPs, according to the poll. The latest MMR poll is built on responses from 951 people, including 821 who declared their voting intentions. Too few responses were received to predict the distribution of parliamentary seats between regions with confidence.
To predict the overall distribution of parliamentary seats between parties, pollsters decided to compare results over the past three opinion polls. According to that methodology, Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn would secure 16 seats, Framsóknarflokkurinn ten, Viðreisn, Vinstri grænir (the Left Greens) and Samfylkingin (the Social Democrats) seven seats, Píratar (the Pirates) six seats, Sósíalistaflokkurinn (the Socialist Party) five seats, Miðflokkurinn (the Centre Party) four MPs, and Flokkur fólksins one.
So far, 9,590 people have already voted, including 7,200 people in the capital region. There are roughly 255,000 people on the electoral register, which means 3.8 percent have voted early. Early voting began on 13th August.
People who are ordered into COVID-19 quarantine or isolation just before the 25th September will be able to vote from home or their quarantine hotel from 20th September. Sigríður Kristinsdóttir, the capital region district commissioner, says the rules surrounding the special pandemic arrangements will be published early next week. The extraordinary rules have been compiled jointly by the Ministry of Justice and district commissioners’ offices around the country.
About the election
All Icelandic citizens (ríkisborgarar) aged over 18 are eligible to vote.
The Multicultural and Information Centre has created a comprehensive election website in English, which can be seen here.
With less than two weeks to go until the 25th September election, RÚV English is covering politics almost every day under the “Election 2021” tag. There will be an election special of The Week in Iceland on 20th September, and live election night coverage.