Coldest June night in 43 years
According to meteorologist Einar Sveinbjörnsson, temperatures fell below freezing in several lowland areas last night. Reykir in Fnjóskadalur saw -5°C, and it was –4.9°C in nearby Végeirsstaðir. It was some of the coldest weather in June for many decades. Einar compares the current conditions to the cold air mass over Iceland that famously ruined National Day, 17th June, in 1959, and broke a hydroelectric dam in the final phase of construction.
The long-term forecast this year is not a lot more encouraging, calling for northerly winds to dominate through the rest of June and into July—though there could be some fine, warm days in between.
“This cold air will play with us for the next three to four days and temperatures will be three or four degrees below average until the 17th June. Sunshine is forecast that day, but the midday temperature will only be seven or eight degrees,” Einar said on RÚV radio this week.
It is notoriously difficult to forecast the weather further than a week or so in the future—especially in Iceland, but Einar says it is 50 percent likely that next Tuesday and Wednesday will be warm, but that it will cool down again after that.
Long-term forecasts are a calculated comparison of 50 different forecast models with slightly differing start points and the outcomes can be vague. “This latest forecast from before the weekend is quite emphatic, though, with dominating northerly wind and cold into July. But that doesn’t mean there won’t be nice days here and there,” Einar explains.